Chapter 1 Reference Notes

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Chapter 1 Reference Notes
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Where the same reference source is used more than once, subsequent references are abbreviated in this way:
- 6: 1.2 - meaning: see chapter 1, note number 2.
- G.D. is Gordon Dryden, and J.V. is Jeannette Vos.
- Other page references are from this edition of The Learning Revolution.

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Ref.

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1. Sources for most information are cited at the foot of page 38. 39
2. Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, Viking Penguin (1995). 39
3. John Naisbitt and Patricia Aburdene, Megatrends 2000, William Morrow 39
4. Total number of book-titles published in the world in 1990: 842,000, according to the Unesco Statistical Yearbook (1992). 39
5. See Internet users 'likely to reach 500m by 2000', article in Financial Times (May 13, 1996). Many other forecasters choose the higher number. 41
6. The Learning Revolution cover story, Business Week (February 28, 1994). 41
7. Michael A. Cusumano & Richard W. Selby, Microsoft Secrets, Harper-Collins (1996), gives the figure of $75,000 for Microsoft's purchase of Q-DOS. Robert X. Cringely, Accidental Empires, Penguin (new edition, 1996), gives the figure at $50,000. 41
8. Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, Viking Penguin (1995). 41
9. David Sheff, Game Over, Coronet (1993). 43
10. Ray Hammond, Digital Business (1996). 43
11. Winner take all, article in Time (September 16, 1996). 45
12. Nicholas Negraponte, Being Digital, Vintage books (1995). 45
13. 1.12. 45
14. The Information Appliance, annual report on information technology, Business Week (June 24, 1996). 47
15. Kevin Kelly, New Rules for the New Economy: twelve dependable principles for thriving in a turbulent world, article in Wired magazine (September, 1997). 47
16. 1.15. 49
17. Stan Shih: interview with G.D. in Taiwan (June 1996). 49
18. The World Economy Survey, supplement to The Economist (Sept. 28, 1996). 49
19. John Naisbitt predictions in this chapter, unless sourced to a book, are from a G.D. interview in Cambridge, Mass., soon after the publication of Megatrends 2000 (1990). 49
20. Gordon Dryden, How to Become an Educational Silicon Valley, article in New Zealand Herald (August 26, 1998). 51
21. Wired Is a Way of Life, part of the cover story in Newsweek (November 9, 1998). 53
22. 1.20. 53
23. 1.20. 55
24. 1.21. 55
25. Sterling Seagrave, Lords of the Rim, Corgi (1996). 57
26. Daniel Burstein and Arne de Keijzer, Big Dragon, Simon & Schuster (1998). Also: Jim Rohwer, Asia Rising, Nicholas Brealey (1996), whose excellent book uses a World Bank forecast showing China reaching world top ranking earlier in the 21st century. Both forecasts are based on what economists call "purchasing power parity", rather than gross national product using international exchange-rate comparisons: PPP being a more accurate guide to what people can actually buy with their income. 57
27. Peter Drucker's forecasts are in The New Realities, Harper & Row (1989); John Naisbitt's in Megatrends 2000 and Megatrends Asia; Kenichi Ohmae's in The Borderless World, Fontana (1990); and Robert Reich's in The Work of Nations, Simon & Schuster (1991). 59
28. Europe's Most Respected Companies, survey in Financial Times, (Sept.18, 1996) updates Tom Peter's figures, including reductions in the number of ABB business centres. Barnevik has since stepped down as CEO, and is now non-executive chairman. 63
29. Franchising predictions from Steven S. Raab, with Gregory Matusky, in Blueprint For Franchising a Business, John Wiley (1987). 63
30. Louise E. Boone and David L. Kurtz in Contemporary Business, and Contemporary Marketing, Harcourt Brace (1996) provide franchising summaries. Also: John A. Quelch and Nathalie Laidler, Mary Kay Cosmetics: Asian Market Entry, in Global Marketing Man-agement: Cases and Readings, Addison-Wesley (1995). 65
31. 1.19. 65
32. World tourist predictions: John Naisbitt & Patricia Aburdene, Megatrends 2000, Morrow (1990). 67
33. Japanese tourist goals, from Maarten Wevers, Japan, its Future and New Zealand, Victoria University Press (1988). 67
34. Charles Handy, The Age of Unreason, Hutchinson (1989). 69
35. 1.19. 69
36. Tomorrow's Second Sex, article in The Economist (September 28, 1996). 71
37. Tony Buzan: interview in Marlow, England, with G.D. (1990). 73
38. 1.18. 75
39. 1.18. 75
40. 1.18. 75
41. 1.18. 77
42. 1.18. 77
43. Most data on the aging of the population from Ken Dychtwald, Age Wave, Bantam (1990). 77

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